Trading farms and forests for biofuel

With political sentiment growing in favor of greenhouse gas (GHG) restrictions, biofuels from plant cellulose are being considered among the alternatives to fossil fuels: Plants are renewable and biodegradable, and they sequester carbon. Yet a new report validates concerns that a global biofuels program could put intense pressure on land supply and distribution. To predict the impact of a biofuels-based economy on climate change, an international team of researchers from the US, Brazil, and China linked an economic model of land use with a terrestrial biogeochemical model of global GHG levels. The team considered two cases for cellulosic biofuel crop growth: The primary focus of case 1 is on converting unfarmed areas such as forests, as shown in the image; of case 2, on exploiting existing farmland to the extent possible. In both cases, biofuel feedstock becomes a dominant global crop by year 2100, but in the process, total forest...