Efficient and effective modeling of complex systems, incorporating cloud physics and precipitation, is essential for accurate climate modeling and forecasting. However, simulating these systems is computationally demanding since microphysics has crucial contributions to the dynamics of moisture and precipitation. In this paper, appropriate stochastic models are developed for the phase-transition dynamics of water, focusing on the precipitating quasi-geostrophic (PQG) model as a prototype. By treating the moisture, phase transitions, and latent heat release as integral components of the system, the PQG model constitutes a set of partial differential equations (PDEs) that involve Heaviside nonlinearities due to phase changes of water. Despite systematically characterizing the precipitation physics, expensive iterative algorithms are needed to find a PDE inversion at each numerical integration time step. As a crucial step toward building an effective stochastic model, a computationally efficient Markov jump process is designed to randomly simulate transitions between saturated and unsaturated states that avoids using the expensive iterative solver. The transition rates, which are deterministic, are derived from the physical fields, guaranteeing physical and statistical consistency with nature. Furthermore, to maintain the consistent spatial pattern of precipitation, the stochastic model incorporates an adaptive parameterization that automatically adjusts the transitions based on spatial information. Numerical tests show the stochastic model retains critical properties of the original PQG system while significantly reducing computational demands. It accurately captures observed precipitation patterns, including the spatial distribution and temporal variability of rainfall, alongside reproducing essential dynamic features such as potential vorticity fields and zonal mean flows.
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November 2024
Research Article|
November 27 2024
A stochastic precipitating quasi-geostrophic model
Special Collection:
Flow and Climate
Nan Chen (陈南)
;
Nan Chen (陈南)
(Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
Department of Mathematics, University of Wisconsin-Madison
, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA
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Changhong Mou (牟长虹)
;
Changhong Mou (牟长虹)
a)
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
Department of Mathematics, University of Wisconsin-Madison
, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA
a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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Leslie M. Smith
;
Leslie M. Smith
(Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing)
1
Department of Mathematics, University of Wisconsin-Madison
, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA
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Yeyu Zhang (张晔宇)
Yeyu Zhang (张晔宇)
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
2
School of Mathematics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
, Shanghai, China
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a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
Physics of Fluids 36, 116618 (2024)
Article history
Received:
July 30 2024
Accepted:
November 04 2024
Citation
Nan Chen, Changhong Mou, Leslie M. Smith, Yeyu Zhang; A stochastic precipitating quasi-geostrophic model. Physics of Fluids 1 November 2024; 36 (11): 116618. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0231366
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