This paper introduces a hybrid model for multivariate multi-wind farm wind speed prediction to reduce operational costs at wind farm control centers and enhance prediction accuracy. Initially, a parallel prediction model called BiTCN–Transformer–Cross-attention (BTTCA) is developed, which integrates spatiotemporal features using cross-attention. The BTTCA model is pre-trained using historical data from four typical wind farms, with input consisting of historical wind speed and related meteorological information. Subsequently, the pre-trained models are deployed via transfer learning to predict wind speed at various other wind farms managed by the control center. By improving prediction accuracy, the model minimizes manual interventions, optimizes resource allocation, and enhances the operational efficiency of wind farms, thereby effectively reducing operational costs. Additionally, the MOPOA is applied to refine the predictions of these 4 pre-trained models, maximizing their offline potential and improving prediction accuracy. Analysis of experimental results and comparisons with other algorithmic models suggests that this hybrid wind speed prediction model performs effectively.
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January 2025
Research Article|
January 10 2025
A novel spatiotemporal fusion wind speed prediction method under wind farm control center: BiTCN–transformer–cross-attention
Wanyi Yang
;
Wanyi Yang
a)
(Methodology, Validation, Writing – original draft)
1
School of Artificial Intelligence, Hebei University of Technology
, Tianjin 300130, China
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Tao Liang
;
Tao Liang
b)
(Resources, Supervision, Writing – review & editing)
1
School of Artificial Intelligence, Hebei University of Technology
, Tianjin 300130, China
b)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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Dabin Mi;
Dabin Mi
c)
(Investigation, Resources)
2
Hebei Jiantou New Energy Co., Ltd.
, Shijiazhuang 050018, China
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Jianxin Tan;
Jianxin Tan
d)
(Funding acquisition, Investigation, Supervision)
2
Hebei Jiantou New Energy Co., Ltd.
, Shijiazhuang 050018, China
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Yanwei Jing;
Yanwei Jing
e)
(Data curation, Funding acquisition)
2
Hebei Jiantou New Energy Co., Ltd.
, Shijiazhuang 050018, China
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Liangnian Lv
Liangnian Lv
f)
(Methodology, Software, Supervision)
3
Goldwind Sci & Tech Co., Ltd.
, Wulumuqi 830063, China
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b)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
a)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
c)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
d)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
e)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
f)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 17, 016101 (2025)
Article history
Received:
August 20 2024
Accepted:
December 02 2024
Citation
Wanyi Yang, Tao Liang, Dabin Mi, Jianxin Tan, Yanwei Jing, Liangnian Lv; A novel spatiotemporal fusion wind speed prediction method under wind farm control center: BiTCN–transformer–cross-attention. J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 1 January 2025; 17 (1): 016101. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0234209
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