To meet the Biden-Harris administration's goal of deploying 30 GW of offshore wind power by 2030 and 110 GW by 2050, expansion of wind energy into U.S. territorial waters prone to tropical cyclones (TCs) and extratropical cyclones (ETCs) is essential. This requires a deeper understanding of cyclone-related risks and the development of robust, resilient offshore wind energy systems. This paper provides a comprehensive review of state-of-the-science measurement and modeling capabilities for studying TCs and ETCs, and their impacts across various spatial and temporal scales. We explore measurement capabilities for environments influenced by TCs and ETCs, including near-surface and vertical profiles of critical variables that characterize these cyclones. The capabilities and limitations of Earth system and mesoscale models are assessed for their effectiveness in capturing atmosphere–ocean–wave interactions that influence TC/ETC-induced risks under a changing climate. Additionally, we discuss microscale modeling capabilities designed to bridge scale gaps from the weather scale (a few kilometers) to the turbine scale (dozens to a few meters). We also review machine learning (ML)-based, data-driven models for simulating TC/ETC events at both weather and wind turbine scales. Special attention is given to extreme metocean conditions like extreme wind gusts, rapid wind direction changes, and high waves, which pose threats to offshore wind energy infrastructure. Finally, the paper outlines the research challenges and future directions needed to enhance the resilience and design of next-generation offshore wind turbines against extreme weather conditions.
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September 2024
Review Article|
October 15 2024
Modeling and observations of North Atlantic cyclones: Implications for U.S. Offshore wind energy
Jiali Wang
;
Jiali Wang
a)
(Conceptualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
Environmental Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory
, Lemont, Illinois 60439, USA
a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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Eric Hendricks
;
Eric Hendricks
(Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
2
U.S. National Science Foundation National Center of Atmospheric Research
, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA
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Christopher M. Rozoff
;
Christopher M. Rozoff
(Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
2
U.S. National Science Foundation National Center of Atmospheric Research
, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA
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Matt Churchfield
;
Matt Churchfield
(Writing – original draft)
3
National Wind Technology Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
, Golden, Colorado 80401, USA
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Longhuan Zhu
;
Longhuan Zhu
b)
(Writing – original draft)
4
Great Lakes Research Center, Michigan Technological University
, Houghton, Michigan 49931, USA
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Sha Feng
;
Sha Feng
(Writing – original draft)
6
Atmospheric, Climate, and Earth Sciences (ACES) Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
, , , USA
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William J. Pringle;
William J. Pringle
(Writing – original draft)
1
Environmental Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory
, Lemont, Illinois 60439, USA
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Mrinal Biswas
;
Mrinal Biswas
(Writing – original draft)
2
U.S. National Science Foundation National Center of Atmospheric Research
, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA
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Sue Ellen Haupt
;
Sue Ellen Haupt
(Writing – review & editing)
2
U.S. National Science Foundation National Center of Atmospheric Research
, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA
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Georgios Deskos
;
Georgios Deskos
(Writing – review & editing)
3
National Wind Technology Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
, Golden, Colorado 80401, USA
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Chunyong Jung;
Chunyong Jung
(Writing – review & editing)
1
Environmental Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory
, Lemont, Illinois 60439, USA
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Pengfei Xue
;
Pengfei Xue
(Writing – review & editing)
1
Environmental Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory
, Lemont, Illinois 60439, USA
4
Great Lakes Research Center, Michigan Technological University
, Houghton, Michigan 49931, USA
5Department of Civil, Environmental and Geospatial Engineering,
Michigan Technological University
, , , USA
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Larry K. Berg
;
Larry K. Berg
(Writing – review & editing)
6
Atmospheric, Climate, and Earth Sciences (ACES) Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
, , , USA
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George Bryan
;
George Bryan
(Writing – review & editing)
2
U.S. National Science Foundation National Center of Atmospheric Research
, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA
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Branko Kosovic
;
Branko Kosovic
(Writing – review & editing)
2
U.S. National Science Foundation National Center of Atmospheric Research
, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA
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Rao Kotamarthi
Rao Kotamarthi
(Writing – review & editing)
1
Environmental Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory
, Lemont, Illinois 60439, USA
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a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
b)
Present address: School of Marine Science and Ocean Engineering, University of New Hampshire, New Hampshire 03824, USA
J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 16, 052702 (2024)
Article history
Received:
April 19 2024
Accepted:
August 27 2024
Citation
Jiali Wang, Eric Hendricks, Christopher M. Rozoff, Matt Churchfield, Longhuan Zhu, Sha Feng, William J. Pringle, Mrinal Biswas, Sue Ellen Haupt, Georgios Deskos, Chunyong Jung, Pengfei Xue, Larry K. Berg, George Bryan, Branko Kosovic, Rao Kotamarthi; Modeling and observations of North Atlantic cyclones: Implications for U.S. Offshore wind energy. J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 1 September 2024; 16 (5): 052702. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0214806
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