In this paper, we propose a procedure for quantifying and reducing uncertainties that impact numerical simulations involved in the estimation of the fatigue of a wind turbine structure. The present study generalizes a previous work carried out by the authors proposing to quantify and to reduce uncertainties that affect the properties of a wind turbine model by combining a global sensitivity analysis and a recursive Bayesian filtering approach. We extend the procedure to include the uncertainties involved in the modeling of a synthetic wind field. Unlike the model properties having a static or slow time-variant behavior, the parameters related to the external solicitation have a non-explicit dynamic behavior, which must be taken into account during the recursive inference. A non-parametric data-driven approach to approximate the non-explicit dynamic of the inflow related parameters is used. More precisely, we focus on data assimilation methods combining a nearest neighbor or an analog sampler with a stochastic filtering method such as the ensemble Kalman filter. The so-called data-driven data assimilation approach is used to recursively reduce the uncertainties that affect the parameters related to both model properties and wind field. For the approximation of the non-explicit dynamic of the wind inflow related parameters, in situ observations obtained from a light detection and ranging system and a cup-anemometer device are used. For the data-assimilation procedure, synthetic data simulated from the aero-servo-elastic numerical model are considered. The next investigations will be to verify the procedure with real in situ data.
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September 2022
Research Article|
September 20 2022
Wind turbine quantification and reduction of uncertainties based on a data-driven data assimilation approach
Adrien Hirvoas
;
Adrien Hirvoas
a)
(Methodology, Writing – review & editing)
1
IFP Energies Nouvelles
, Rond-point de l'échangeur de Solaize, BP 3, 69360 Solaize, France
2
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Inria, Grenoble INP (Institute of Engineering Univ. Grenoble Alpes) LJK
, 3800 Grenoble, France
a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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Clémentine Prieur;
Clémentine Prieur
(Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
2
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Inria, Grenoble INP (Institute of Engineering Univ. Grenoble Alpes) LJK
, 3800 Grenoble, France
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Élise Arnaud;
Élise Arnaud
(Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
2
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Inria, Grenoble INP (Institute of Engineering Univ. Grenoble Alpes) LJK
, 3800 Grenoble, France
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Fabien Caleyron;
Fabien Caleyron
(Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
IFP Energies Nouvelles
, Rond-point de l'échangeur de Solaize, BP 3, 69360 Solaize, France
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Miguel Munoz Zuniga
Miguel Munoz Zuniga
(Methodology, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
3
IFP Energies Nouvelles
, 1 et 4 avenue de Bois-Préau, 92852 Rueil-Malmaison, France
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a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 14, 053303 (2022)
Article history
Received:
January 24 2022
Accepted:
August 19 2022
Citation
Adrien Hirvoas, Clémentine Prieur, Élise Arnaud, Fabien Caleyron, Miguel Munoz Zuniga; Wind turbine quantification and reduction of uncertainties based on a data-driven data assimilation approach. J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 1 September 2022; 14 (5): 053303. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0086255
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