A critical step in stochastic optimization models of power system analysis is to select a set of appropriate scenarios and significant numbers of scenario generation methods exist in the literature. This paper develops a clustering based scenario generation method, which aims to improve the performance of existing scenario generation techniques by grouping a set of correlated wind sites into clusters according to their cross-correlations. Copula based models are utilized to model spatiotemporal correlations and the Gibbs sampling is then used to generate scenarios for day-ahead markets. Our results show that the generated scenarios based on clustered wind sites outperform existing approaches in terms of reliability and sharpness and can reduce the total computational time for scenario generation and reduction significantly. The clustering-based framework can therefore provide a better support for real-world market simulations with high wind penetration.
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May 2020
Research Article|
June 03 2020
A clustering-based scenario generation framework for power market simulation with wind integration
Special Collection:
Best Practices in Renewable Energy Resourcing and Integration
Binghui Li;
Binghui Li
1
The University of Texas at Dallas
, Richardson, Texas 75080, USA
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Kwami Sedzro;
Kwami Sedzro
2
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
, Golden, Colorado 80401, USA
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Xin Fang
;
Xin Fang
2
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
, Golden, Colorado 80401, USA
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Bri-Mathias Hodge;
Bri-Mathias Hodge
a)
2
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
, Golden, Colorado 80401, USA
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Jie Zhang
Jie Zhang
b)
1
The University of Texas at Dallas
, Richardson, Texas 75080, USA
b)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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a)
Also at: University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado 80309, USA.
b)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
Note: This paper is part of the Special Collection on Best Practices in Renewable Energy Resourcing and Integration.
J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 12, 036301 (2020)
Article history
Received:
March 02 2020
Accepted:
May 12 2020
Citation
Binghui Li, Kwami Sedzro, Xin Fang, Bri-Mathias Hodge, Jie Zhang; A clustering-based scenario generation framework for power market simulation with wind integration. J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 1 May 2020; 12 (3): 036301. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0006480
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