A nonlinear-dynamical algorithm for city planning is proposed as an impulse pattern formulation (IPF) for predicting relevant parameters such as health, artistic freedom, or financial developments of different social or political stakeholders over the cause of a planning process. The IPF has already shown high predictive precision at low computational cost in musical instrument simulations, brain dynamics, and human–human interactions. The social and political IPF consists of three basic equations of system state developments, self-adaptation of stakeholders, two adaptive interactions, and external impact terms suitable for respective planning situations. Typical scenarios of stakeholder interactions and developments are modeled by adjusting a set of system parameters. These include stakeholder reaction to external input, enhanced system stability through self-adaptation, stakeholder convergence due to adaptive interaction, as well as complex dynamics in terms of fixed stakeholder impacts. A workflow for implementing the algorithm in real city planning scenarios is outlined. This workflow includes machine learning of a suitable set of parameters suggesting best-practice planning to aim at the desired development of the planning process and its output.
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September 2024
Research Article|
September 19 2024
Nonlinear dynamical social and political prediction algorithm for city planning and public participation using the impulse pattern formulation
Special Collection:
Advances in Adaptive Dynamical Networks
R. Bader
;
R. Bader
a)
(Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
Institute of Systematic Musicology, University of Hamburg
, Neue Rabenstr. 13, 20354 Hamburg, Germany
a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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S. Linke
;
S. Linke
(Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
2
Hamburg University for Applied Sciences, Ligeti Center
, Veritaskai, 1, 21079 Hamburg, Germany
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S. Gernert
S. Gernert
(Conceptualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
3
Freie und Hansestadt Hamburg Landesbetrieb Immobilienmanagement und Grundvermögen
, Millerntorplatz 1, 20359 Hamburg, Germany
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R. Bader
1,a)
S. Linke
2
S. Gernert
3
1
Institute of Systematic Musicology, University of Hamburg
, Neue Rabenstr. 13, 20354 Hamburg, Germany
2
Hamburg University for Applied Sciences, Ligeti Center
, Veritaskai, 1, 21079 Hamburg, Germany
3
Freie und Hansestadt Hamburg Landesbetrieb Immobilienmanagement und Grundvermögen
, Millerntorplatz 1, 20359 Hamburg, Germany
a)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
Chaos 34, 093130 (2024)
Article history
Received:
April 01 2024
Accepted:
August 23 2024
Citation
R. Bader, S. Linke, S. Gernert; Nonlinear dynamical social and political prediction algorithm for city planning and public participation using the impulse pattern formulation. Chaos 1 September 2024; 34 (9): 093130. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0211618
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