Spatiotemporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among nodes. Despite the significant strides made by graph-based networks in spatiotemporal forecasting, there remain two pivotal factors closely related to forecasting performance that need further consideration: time delays in propagation dynamics and multi-scale high-dimensional interactions. In this work, we present a Series-Aligned Multi-Scale Graph Learning (SAMSGL) framework, aiming to enhance forecasting performance. In order to handle time delays in spatial interactions, we propose a series-aligned graph convolution layer to facilitate the aggregation of non-delayed graph signals, thereby mitigating the influence of time delays for the improvement in accuracy. To understand global and local spatiotemporal interactions, we develop a spatiotemporal architecture via multi-scale graph learning, which encompasses two essential components: multi-scale graph structure learning and graph-fully connected (Graph-FC) blocks. The multi-scale graph structure learning includes a global graph structure to learn both delayed and non-delayed node embeddings, as well as a local one to learn node variations influenced by neighboring factors. The Graph-FC blocks synergistically fuse spatial and temporal information to boost prediction accuracy. To evaluate the performance of SAMSGL, we conduct experiments on meteorological and traffic forecasting datasets, which demonstrate its effectiveness and superiority.
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June 2024
Research Article|
June 18 2024
SAMSGL: Series-aligned multi-scale graph learning for spatiotemporal forecasting
Special Collection:
Advances in Adaptive Dynamical Networks
Xiaobei Zou
;
Xiaobei Zou
a)
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft)
1
The Key Laboratory of Smart Manufacturing in Energy Chemical Process, East China University of Science and Technology
, Shanghai 200237, China
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Luolin Xiong
;
Luolin Xiong
b)
(Conceptualization, Writing – original draft)
1
The Key Laboratory of Smart Manufacturing in Energy Chemical Process, East China University of Science and Technology
, Shanghai 200237, China
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Yang Tang
;
Yang Tang
c)
(Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing)
1
The Key Laboratory of Smart Manufacturing in Energy Chemical Process, East China University of Science and Technology
, Shanghai 200237, China
c)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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Jürgen Kurths
Jürgen Kurths
d)
(Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
2
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
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Xiaobei Zou
1,a)
Luolin Xiong
1,b)
Yang Tang
1,c)
Jürgen Kurths
2,d)
1
The Key Laboratory of Smart Manufacturing in Energy Chemical Process, East China University of Science and Technology
, Shanghai 200237, China
2
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
c)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
a)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
b)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
d)
Electronic mail: [email protected]. Also at: Institute of Physics, Humboldt University of Berlin, 12489 Berlin, Germany. Also at: Research Institute of Intelligent Complex Systems, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China.
Chaos 34, 063140 (2024)
Article history
Received:
March 30 2024
Accepted:
May 27 2024
Citation
Xiaobei Zou, Luolin Xiong, Yang Tang, Jürgen Kurths; SAMSGL: Series-aligned multi-scale graph learning for spatiotemporal forecasting. Chaos 1 June 2024; 34 (6): 063140. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0211403
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