We study three different strategies of vaccination in an SEIRS (Susceptible–Exposed–Infected–Recovered–Susceptible) seasonal forced model, which are ( ) continuous vaccination; ( ) periodic short-time localized vaccination, and ( ) periodic pulsed width campaign. Considering the first strategy, we obtain an expression for the basic reproduction number and infer a minimum vaccination rate necessary to ensure the stability of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) solution. In the second strategy, short duration pulses are added to a constant baseline vaccination rate. The pulse is applied according to the seasonal forcing phases. The best outcome is obtained by locating intensive immunization at inflection of the transmissivity curve. Therefore, a vaccination rate of of susceptible individuals is enough to ensure DFE. For the third vaccination proposal, additionally to the amplitude, the pulses have a prolonged time width. We obtain a non-linear relationship between vaccination rates and the duration of the campaign. Our simulations show that the baseline rates, as well as the pulse duration, can substantially improve the vaccination campaign effectiveness. These findings are in agreement with our analytical expression. We show a relationship between the vaccination parameters and the accumulated number of infected individuals, over the years, and show the relevance of the immunization campaign annual reaching for controlling the infection spreading. Regarding the dynamical behavior of the model, our simulations show that chaotic and periodic solutions as well as bi-stable regions depend on the vaccination parameters range.
Skip Nav Destination
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
Article navigation
January 2024
Research Article|
January 25 2024
Impact of periodic vaccination in SEIRS seasonal model
Enrique C. Gabrick
;
Enrique C. Gabrick
a)
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
2
Department of Physics, Humboldt University Berlin
, Newtonstraße 15, 12489 Berlin, Germany
3
Graduate Program in Science, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
Eduardo L. Brugnago
;
Eduardo L. Brugnago
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
4
Institute of Physics, University of São Paulo
, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
Silvio L. T. de Souza
;
Silvio L. T. de Souza
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
5
Federal University of São João del-Rei
, Campus Centro-Oeste, 35501-296 Divinópolis, MG, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
Kelly C. Iarosz
;
Kelly C. Iarosz
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
3
Graduate Program in Science, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
6
University Center UNIFATEB
, 84266-010 Telêmaco Borba, PR, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
José D. Szezech, Jr.
;
José D. Szezech, Jr.
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
3
Graduate Program in Science, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
7
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
Ricardo L. Viana
;
Ricardo L. Viana
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
4
Institute of Physics, University of São Paulo
, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, Brazil
8
Department of Physics, Federal University of Paraná
, 81531-980 Curitiba, PR, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
Iberê L. Caldas
;
Iberê L. Caldas
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
4
Institute of Physics, University of São Paulo
, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
Antonio M. Batista
;
Antonio M. Batista
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
3
Graduate Program in Science, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
4
Institute of Physics, University of São Paulo
, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, Brazil
7
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
Search for other works by this author on:
Jürgen Kurths
Jürgen Kurths
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
2
Department of Physics, Humboldt University Berlin
, Newtonstraße 15, 12489 Berlin, Germany
Search for other works by this author on:
Enrique C. Gabrick
1,2,3,a)
Eduardo L. Brugnago
4
Silvio L. T. de Souza
5
Kelly C. Iarosz
3,6
José D. Szezech, Jr.
3,7
Ricardo L. Viana
4,8
Iberê L. Caldas
4
Antonio M. Batista
3,4,7
Jürgen Kurths
1,2
1
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
, Telegrafenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
2
Department of Physics, Humboldt University Berlin
, Newtonstraße 15, 12489 Berlin, Germany
3
Graduate Program in Science, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
4
Institute of Physics, University of São Paulo
, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, Brazil
5
Federal University of São João del-Rei
, Campus Centro-Oeste, 35501-296 Divinópolis, MG, Brazil
6
University Center UNIFATEB
, 84266-010 Telêmaco Borba, PR, Brazil
7
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, State University of Ponta Grossa
, 84030-900 Ponta Grossa, PR, Brazil
8
Department of Physics, Federal University of Paraná
, 81531-980 Curitiba, PR, Brazil
Chaos 34, 013137 (2024)
Article history
Received:
July 28 2023
Accepted:
December 26 2023
Citation
Enrique C. Gabrick, Eduardo L. Brugnago, Silvio L. T. de Souza, Kelly C. Iarosz, José D. Szezech, Ricardo L. Viana, Iberê L. Caldas, Antonio M. Batista, Jürgen Kurths; Impact of periodic vaccination in SEIRS seasonal model. Chaos 1 January 2024; 34 (1): 013137. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0169834
Download citation file:
Pay-Per-View Access
$40.00
Sign In
You could not be signed in. Please check your credentials and make sure you have an active account and try again.
Citing articles via
Reservoir computing with the minimum description length principle
Antony Mizzi, Michael Small, et al.
Recent achievements in nonlinear dynamics, synchronization, and networks
Dibakar Ghosh, Norbert Marwan, et al.
Data-driven nonlinear model reduction to spectral submanifolds via oblique projection
Leonardo Bettini, Bálint Kaszás, et al.
Related Content
Control, bi-stability, and preference for chaos in time-dependent vaccination campaign
Chaos (September 2024)
ASEI-SEIR model with vaccination for dengue control in Shah Alam, Malaysia
AIP Conf. Proc. (March 2018)
Mathematical modeling of the spread of corona virus disease 19 (COVID-19) with vaccines
AIP Conf. Proc. (November 2022)
SEIR model simulation for Hepatitis B
AIP Conf. Proc. (September 2017)
SEIR model simulation for Hepatitis B
AIP Conf. Proc. (September 2017)