With the recent increase in deforestation, forest fires, and regional temperatures, the concerns around the rapid and complete collapse of the Amazon rainforest ecosystem have heightened. The thresholds of deforestation and the temperature increase required for such a catastrophic event are still uncertain. However, our analysis presented here shows that signatures of changing Amazon are already apparent in historical climate data sets. Here, we extend the methods of climate network analysis and apply them to study the temporal evolution of the connectivity between the Amazon rainforest and the global climate system. We observe that the Amazon rainforest is losing short-range connectivity and gaining more long-range connections, indicating shifts in regional-scale processes. Using embeddings inspired by manifold learning, we show that the Amazon connectivity patterns have undergone a fundamental shift in the 21st century. By investigating edge-based network metrics on similar regions to the Amazon, we see the changing properties of the Amazon are noticeable in comparison. Furthermore, we simulate diffusion and random walks on these networks and observe a faster spread of perturbations from the Amazon in recent decades. Our methodology innovations can act as a template for examining the spatiotemporal patterns of regional climate change and its impact on global climate using the toolbox of climate network analysis.
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January 2024
Research Article|
January 23 2024
Reconfiguration of Amazon’s connectivity in the climate system
Adam Giammarese
;
Adam Giammarese
a)
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Rochester Institute of Technology
, Rochester, New York 14623, USA
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Jacob Brown
;
Jacob Brown
(Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis)
2
Department of Mathematics, University of Connecticut
, Storrs, Connecticut 06269, USA
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Nishant Malik
Nishant Malik
b)
(Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing)
1
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Rochester Institute of Technology
, Rochester, New York 14623, USA
b)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
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b)Author to whom correspondence should be addressed: [email protected]
a)
Electronic mail: [email protected]
Chaos 34, 013134 (2024)
Article history
Received:
June 30 2023
Accepted:
December 04 2023
Connected Content
A companion article has been published:
Climate network analysis reveals Amazon rainforest now more connected to global climate
Citation
Adam Giammarese, Jacob Brown, Nishant Malik; Reconfiguration of Amazon’s connectivity in the climate system. Chaos 1 January 2024; 34 (1): 013134. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0165861
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