With the advent of the aviation travel industry, a large number of data mining technologies have been developed to increase profits for airlines in the past two decades. The implementation of the digital optimization strategy leads to price discrimination, for example, similar seats on the same flight are purchased at different prices, depending on the time of purchase, the supplier, and so on. Price fluctuations make the prediction of ticket prices have application value. In this paper, a combination of ARMA algorithm and random forest algorithm is proposed to predict the price of air ticket. The experimental results show that the model is more reliable by comparing the forecasting results with the actual results of each price model. The model is helpful for passengers to buy tickets and to save money. Based on the proposed model, using Python language and SQL Server database, we design and implement the ticket price forecasting system.

1.
Etzioni
,
O.
,
Tuchinda
,
R.
,
Knoblock
,
C. A.
, &
Yates
,
A.
To buy or not to buy: mining airfare data to minimize ticket purchase price[C]
//
ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
,
Washington, Dc, Usa
, August.
2003
:
119
128
.
2.
A
Lantseva
,
K
Mukhina
,
A
Nikishova
,
S
Ivanov
,
K
Knyazkov
, “
Data-driven Modeling of Airlines Pricing
Procedia Computer Science
,
2015
,
66
:
267
276
.
3.
Groves
,
William
, and
M.
Gini
. “
On Optimizing Airline Ticket Purchase Timing
.”
ACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems & Technology
7
.
1
(
2015
):
1
28
.
Gu
Zhaojun
,
Wang
Shuang
,
Zhao
yi
. “
A forecasting model of air ticket price based on time series. ”
[J].
Journal of Civil Aviation University of China
,
31
.
2
(
2013
):
80
84
.
4.
Gu
Zhaojun
,
Wang
Shuang
,
Zhao
yi
. “
A forecasting model of air ticket price based on time series. ”
[J].
Journal of Civil Aviation University of China
,
31
.
2
(
2013
):
80
84
.
5.
Breiman
,
L.
Random forests
.
Machine Learning
2001
,
45
(
1
),
5
32
.
6.
A
Lantseva
,
K
Mukhina
,
A
Nikishova
,
S
Ivanov
,
K
Knyazkov
.
Data-driven Modeling of Airlines Pricing ⋆
[J].
Procedia Computer Science
,
2015
,
66
:
267
276
.
7.
Webmaster
. Statistics and Machine Learning[M]// Foundations of machine learning /.
MIT Press
,
2012
:
287
--
306
.
8.
Domínguez-Menchero
,
J.
Santos
,
J.
Rivera
, and
E.
Torres-Manzanera
. “
Optimal purchase timing in the airline market
.”
Journal of Air Transport Management
40
.
40
(
2014
):
137
143
.
This content is only available via PDF.