The study discussed the feasibility of CA-Markov model in Panjin to simulated future land use. Results showed that the model could simulated the land use in Panjin well. And in the simulation in Panjin for 2018, human activities would affect the land use obivously, with the increase of all artificial land use area and the reduction of natural wetland such as reed marsh and suaeda heteroptera area. The protection for natural land use should be intensified to avoid the ecosystem worsening.

1.
Liu
,
M.
,
Hu
.,
Y.M.
,
Chang
,
Y.
, et al. 
Land Use and Land Cover Change Analysis and Prediction in the Upper Reaches of the Minjiang River, China
.
Environmental Management
,
2009
,
43
:
899
–
907
.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-008-9263-7
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
PubMed
 
2.
Verburg
,
P.H.
,
Soepboer
,
W.
,
Limpiada
,
R.
, et al. 
Land use change modelling at the regional scale: the CLUES model
.
Environmental Management
,
2002
,
30
:
391
–
405
.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-002-2630-x
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
PubMed
 
3.
Lambin
,
E.F.
,
Turner
,
B.L.
, et al. 
The causes of land-use and land-cover change: moving beyond the myths
.
Global Environmental Change
,
2001
,
11
:
261
–
269
.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(01)00007-3
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
 
4.
Wu
,
J.
 &
Hobbs
,
R.
,
Key issues and research priorities in landscape ecology: an idiosyncratic synthesis
.
Landscape Ecology
,
2002
,
17
:
355
–
365
.
https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1020561630963
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
 
5.
Thompson
,
R.C.
,
Crowea
,
T.P.
, and
Hawkins
,
S.J.
 
Rocky intertidal communities: past environmental changes, present status and predictions for the next 25 years
.
Environmental Conservation
,
2002
,
29
:
168
–
191
.
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0376892902000115
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
 
6.
Clarke
 
K.C.
,
Hoppen
 
S.
,
Gaydos
 
L.
 
A self-modelling cellular automata model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco bay area
.
Environ. Plan
,
1997
,
24
:
247
–
261
.
https://doi.org/10.1068/b240247
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
 
7.
Pijanowski
 
B.C.
,
Brown
 
D.G.
, et al. 
Using neural network and GIS to forecast land use change: a land transformation model. Comput
.
Environ. Urban Syst
,
2002
,
26
,
553
–
575
.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0198-9715(01)00015-1
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
 
8.
Nouri
 
J.
,
Gharagozlou
 
A.
, et al.,
Predicting Urban Land Use Changes Using a CA–Markov Model
.
Arab J Sci Eng.
,
2014
,
39
:
5565
–
5573
.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13369-014-1119-2
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
 
9.
Von Neumann
 
J
,
Burks
 
AW
. Theory of self-reproducing automata.
Urbana
:
University of Illinois Press
,
1966
,
35
–
39
.
10.
Clark
 
Labs
,
2006
, http://www.clarklabs.org.
11.
Pontius
,
J.R.G.
, &
Schneider
,
L.C.
,
Land-cover change model validation by an ROC method for the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA
.
Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment
,
2001
,
85
:
239
–
248
.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00187-6
Google Scholar
Crossref
Search ADS
 
This content is only available via PDF.
© 2017 Author(s).
2017
Author(s)