This study aims to examine the accuracy of the time-invariant fuzzy method in forecasting the number of ship passengers at the port of Makassar. Forecasting helps a company establish the number of passengers to come, anticipate their increase, and provide policies for addressing the problem. The Time-Invariant Fuzzy, whose relationship does not depend on time t, was used by utilizing fuzzy sets as historical data. In general, this method has two essential aspects, including the use of historical or actual data and relations. The data used was obtained from the number of ship passengers at Makassar Port from January 2012 to December 2020. The results showed that the Mean Average Percentage Error (MAPE) value in the training and the testing data is 7.9% and 6.8%, respectively. This means that the method is very accurate in predicting ship passengers at Makassar Port.
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14 February 2023
THE PROCEEDINGS OF THE 5TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MARITIME EDUCATION AND TRAINING (The 5th ICMET) 2021
5–6 October 2021
Makassar, Indonesia
Research Article|
February 14 2023
The accuracy of the time-invariant fuzzy method in forecasting the number of ship passengers at the port of Makassar
Agus Budi Hartono;
Agus Budi Hartono
a)
1
AMI Maritime Polytechnic
, Jl. Nuri Baru No. 1, Makassar, South Sulawesi 90134, Indonesia
a)Corresponding author: [email protected]
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Powell Gian Hartono;
Powell Gian Hartono
b)
2
Satya Wacana Christian University
, Jl. Diponegoro No. 52-60, Salatiga, Central Java 50711, Indonesia
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Georgina Maria Tinungki;
Georgina Maria Tinungki
c)
3
Hasanuddin University
, Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan KM. 10, Makassar, South Sulawesi 90245, Indonesia
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Jakaria;
Jakaria
d)
4
Trisakti University
, Jl. Kyai Tapa No. 1, West Jakarta, DKI Jakarta 11440, Indonesia
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Amrin;
Amrin
e)
1
AMI Maritime Polytechnic
, Jl. Nuri Baru No. 1, Makassar, South Sulawesi 90134, Indonesia
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Lydia Rosintan Simanjuntak;
Lydia Rosintan Simanjuntak
f)
4
Trisakti University
, Jl. Kyai Tapa No. 1, West Jakarta, DKI Jakarta 11440, Indonesia
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Astrid Maria Esther
Astrid Maria Esther
g)
4
Trisakti University
, Jl. Kyai Tapa No. 1, West Jakarta, DKI Jakarta 11440, Indonesia
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AIP Conf. Proc. 2675, 040010 (2023)
Citation
Agus Budi Hartono, Powell Gian Hartono, Georgina Maria Tinungki, Jakaria, Amrin, Lydia Rosintan Simanjuntak, Astrid Maria Esther; The accuracy of the time-invariant fuzzy method in forecasting the number of ship passengers at the port of Makassar. AIP Conf. Proc. 14 February 2023; 2675 (1): 040010. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0116987
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