Asynchronous-harmonic analysis for forecasting development indicators of the space industry

An analytical review of the existing indicators which characterize the level of the Russian Federation and World space industry development is performed. Asynchronous-harmonic analysis definitions were studying and various approaches to the process of forecasting economic and social indicators were applied. The Authors put forward a hypothesis of the possibility of this approach effective application to forecasting in the space industry. To make the prognosis, the following parameters were selected: «Global turnover of the space economy», «The revenue of various countries», «The share of launces of the Russian satellites in the launch activity in the World», «The percentages of foreign orders in the space industry of Russian Federation». Mathematical functions features are describing and the accuracy indicators of the constructed models are calculated. Recommendations for using this method in time series analysis are formed. The received accuracy data justified the possibility of using asynchronous-harmonic analysis to estimate the trends of the development of the space industry development.