Covid illness (COVID-19) happened in December 2019 first in Wuhan city of Hubei region of China. World Health Organization (WHO) proclaimed the spread or transmission of this infection as a pandemic. The infection named as severe intense respiratory disorder Covid 2 (SARS-CoV-2) by the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses on February 11, 2020. Disease due to this novel-coronavirus is infectious. Therefore, modeling such disease is required to understand methods of transmission, spread, epidemic. Several researchers have found that the transfer of the virus occurs through human contact via their pathogens, such as coughing, sneezing, and breathing. With all sorts of preventive measures (social distancing, wearing mask and lockdown), there is a need to develop a dynamic model of epidemiology for infectious disease. In this article, we have developed a new epidemiological dynamical model-design towards simulating spread and awareness towards this genomic- virus. This model studies the complexity analysis including time series and phase dynamics for the development of the virus in Iraq. Examination helps the comprehension of episode of this infection towards different pieces of the mainland and the world. Accuracy in addition to, validity for the assessment would prove to be superior if models fit less of the data on basis of the features: population-mobility with natural-history, epidemiological-characteristics, & transmission-contrivances for virus-gene. It is concluded that for Iraq the spread is following the log normal behavior with long tail.
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31 October 2022
1ST VIRTUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SCIENCES: VICS2021
26–27 May 2021
Anbar, Iraq
Research Article|
October 31 2022
Dynamic inferences of coronavirus epidemiology spread in Iraq region
Rashmi Bhardwaj;
Rashmi Bhardwaj
a)
1
Department of Mathematics, University School of Basic and Applied Sciences (USBAS), Head, Non-Linear Dynamics Research Lab, GGS Indraprastha University
, Delhi, India
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Abdul Rahman S. Juma;
Abdul Rahman S. Juma
b)
2
Department of Mathematics, College of Education for Pure Sciences, University Of Anbar-
Iraq
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Ali Alfayadh
Ali Alfayadh
c)
3
Department of Mathematics, College of Science, University Of Nahrain-
Iraq
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AIP Conf. Proc. 2400, 030014 (2022)
Citation
Rashmi Bhardwaj, Abdul Rahman S. Juma, Ali Alfayadh; Dynamic inferences of coronavirus epidemiology spread in Iraq region. AIP Conf. Proc. 31 October 2022; 2400 (1): 030014. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0112669
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