Many prognosis studies have been conducted for a long time. There are many established and widely accepted prediction methods, such as linear extrapolation and SARIMA. However, their performance is far from perfect, especially when the time series is highly volatile. In this paper, we propose a hybrid prediction scheme that combines the classical SARIMA method and the wavelet transform (WT). Wavelet transform (WT) has emerged as an effective tool in decomposing time series into different components, which allows for improved prediction accuracy. However, this issue has so far been insufficiently tested and tried to predict different time series. Our goal is therefore to integrate modeling approaches as a decision support tool. The results of an empirical study show that this method can achieve high accuracy in prediction. Based on the results of the created model, it can be stated that the hybrid WSARIMA model overperformed the SARIMA model.

1.
A. A.
Adebiyi
,
A. O.
Adewumi
and
C. K.
Ayo
,
“Comparison of ARIMA and Artificial Neural Networks Models for Stock Price Prediction
,”
Journal of Applied Mathematics
,
2014
,
1
7
(
2014
)
2.
Q. M.
Abdulqader
, “Forecasting the Electric Energy Supply in Duhok Province using Proposed Methods Based on Wavelet Analysis and Sarima Methods,”
Science Journal of University of Zakho
.
5
(
2
),
221
227
(
2017
)
3.
D. B.
Alencar
,
C. M.
Affonso
,
R. C. L.
Oliveira
and
J. C. R.
Filho
,
“Hybrid Approach Combining SARIMA and Neural Networks for Multi-Step Ahead Wind Speed Forecasting in Brazil
,”
IEEE Access.
6
,
55986
55994
(
2018
)
4.
L.
Bai
,
S.
Yan
,
X.
Zheng
and
B. M.
Chen
,
“Market turning points forecasting using wavelet analysis
,”
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
,
437
,
184
197
(
2015
)
5.
G. E. P.
Box
,
G. M.
Jenkins
,
G. C.
Reinsel
,
G. M.
Ljung
,
Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control
,
Hoboken
,
NJ, USA:Wiley
, (
2016
)
6.
K. S.
Chandar
,
Fusion model of wavelet transform and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for stock market prediction
.
Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing
, (
2019
)
7.
T. M.
Choi
,
Y.
Yu
and
K. F.
Au
,
“A hybrid SARIMA wavelet transform method for sales forecasting
,”
Decision Support Systems
,
51
(
1
),
130
140
(
2011
)
8.
A. V.
Devadoss
and T. A. A, “Ligori, Stock prediction using artificial neural networks,”
Int J Data Min Tech Appl
,
2013
(
2
),
283
291
(
2013
)
9.
M. T.
Ismail
,
S. S.
Mamat
,
F. M.
Hamzah
and
S. A. A.
Karim
,
Forecasting performance of denoising signal by Wavelet and Fourier Transforms using SARIMA model.
961
966
(
2014
)
10.
I.
Khandelwal
,
R.
Adhikari
and
G.
Verma
, “Time series forecasting using hybrid ARIMA and ANN models based on DWT Decomposition,”
Procedia Computer Science
.
48
,
173
179
(
2015
)
11.
M.
Khashei
,
M.
Bijari
and
S. R.
Hejazi
,
“Combining seasonal ARIMA models with computational intelligence techniques for time series forecasting
,”
Soft Computing
,
16
(
6
),
1091
1105
(
2012
)
12.
H.
Kwak
,
C.
Lee
,
H.
Park
and
S.
Moon
,
“What is Twitter, a social network or a news media?”
Proceedings of the 19th international conference on World Wide Web, April
:
591
600
(
2010
)
13.
L.
Lai
and
J.
Liu
, “Support vector machine and least square support vector machine stock forecasting models,”
Comput Sci Inf Technol
,
2
(
1
),
30
39
(
2014
)
14.
K. J.
Lee
,
A. Y.
Chi
,
S.
Yoo
and
J. J.
Jongdae
,
Forecasting Korean Stock Price Index (Kospi) Using Back Propagation Neural Network Model, Bayesian Chiao's Model, and Sarima Model
.
Academy of Information & Management Sciences Journal
,
11
(
2
),
53
62
(
2008
)
15.
Z.
Li
and
V.
Tam
,
“Combining the real-time wavelet denoising and long-short-term-memory neural network for predicting stock indexes
,” In:
2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence (SSCI
).
IEEE
,
2017
,
1
8
(
2017
)
16.
J.
Ma
,
J.
Xue
,
S.
Yang
and
Z.
Zhang
, “A study of the construction and application of a Daubechies wavelet-based be amelement,”
FiniteElem.Anal.Des
.
39
(
10
),
965
975
(
2003
)
17.
H.
Nie
,
G.
Liu
,
X.
Liu
and
Y.
Wang
,
“Hybrid of ARIMA and SVMs for short term load forecasting
,”
Energy Procedia
,
16
,
1455
1460
(
2012
)
18.
P. F.
Pai
and
C. S.
Lin
,
“A hybrid ARIMA and support vector machines model in stock price forecasting
,”
Omega
,
33
,
497
505
(
2005
)
19.
B. T.
Reddy
and
J.C.
Usha
,
“Prediction of Stock Market using Stochastic Neural Networks
,”
International Journal of Innovative Research in Computer Science & Technology
,
7
(
5
),
128
138
(
2019
)
20.
A.
Rua
,
“Money growth and inflation in the Euro Area: A time-frequency view
,”
Oxford B Econ Stat
, (
74
),
875
885
(
2012
)
21.
Y.
Xu
,
Z.
Liu
,
J.
Zhao
,
C.
Su
, and
W. X.
Zhou
,
“Weibo sentiments and stock return: A time-frequency view
,”
PLOS ONE
,
12
(
7
) (
2017
)
22.
G. P.
Zhang
,
“Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model
,”
Neurocomputing
,
50
,
159
175
(
2003
)
This content is only available via PDF.
You do not currently have access to this content.